Per-Market Risk Score

How risk-on is each market right now?

For every tracked market, a single risk score from 0 (full risk-off) to 100 (full risk-on). Each score blends the Hidden Markov Model, 200-day Simple Moving Average, and 200-day Exponential Moving Average for that specific market. Updated daily.

Today's risk scores

As of 2026-07-24, global risk gauge 53/100 (mixed). Per market: S&P 500 83/100 (risk-on) · Nasdaq 100 83/100 (risk-on) · Bitcoin 33/100 (mixed) · Ethereum 33/100 (mixed) · Gold 0/100 (risk-off) · Silver 1/100 (risk-off) · Euro Stoxx 50 100/100 (risk-on) · Nifty 50 33/100 (mixed) · Nikkei 225 67/100 (mixed) · KOSPI Composite 67/100 (mixed) · Shanghai Composite 16/100 (risk-off) · Hang Seng 17/100 (risk-off) · TAIEX 67/100 (mixed) · Crude Oil (WTI) 67/100 (mixed) · Copper 83/100 (risk-on) · US 10Y Treasuries 17/100 (risk-off) · US Dollar Index 100/100 (risk-on) · FTSE 100 99/100 (risk-on) · Bovespa 83/100 (risk-on) · Tadawul All Share 33/100 (mixed).

Today's risk score by market

Each gauge is computed independently for that market only. VIX and Dollar Index regime are included as cross-market risk inputs.

How to read each gauge. Above 70 = the market is in a confirmed bull regime across HMM + SMA + EMA (you can be aggressive). Below 30 = confirmed bear regime across models (defensive). Between 30 and 70 = signals disagree — for example HMM bull but SMA bear, often around a turning point. The 3 sub-scores under each gauge show which model says what. Read the methodology. Not investment advice.