The simplest possible regime classifier. Above the moving average → bull. Below → bear. Binary, transparent, no model fitting.
Today's SMA regimes
200-day SMA regime as of 2026-07-24: S&P 500 bull (+5.8% vs 200d) · Nasdaq 100 bull (+7.7% vs 200d) · Bitcoin bear (-10.4% vs 200d) · Ethereum bear (-12.6% vs 200d) · Gold bear (-9.3% vs 200d) · Silver bear (-15.6% vs 200d) · Euro Stoxx 50 bull (+6.1% vs 200d) · Nifty 50 bear (-4.2% vs 200d) · Nikkei 225 bull (+14.3% vs 200d) · KOSPI Composite bull (+18.1% vs 200d) · Shanghai Composite bear (-5.0% vs 200d) · Hang Seng bear (-3.1% vs 200d) · TAIEX bull (+26.1% vs 200d) · Crude Oil (WTI) bull (+19.3% vs 200d) · Copper bull (+10.6% vs 200d) · US 10Y Treasuries bear (-2.9% vs 200d) · US Dollar Index bull (+2.3% vs 200d) · FTSE 100 bull (+4.9% vs 200d) · Bovespa bull (+3.2% vs 200d) · Tadawul All Share bear (-2.9% vs 200d).
Snapshot for —
Click a card to switch DMA timeframe. The selected one is highlighted and shown in detail below.
Green segments = price above MA (bull)
Red segments = price below MA (bear)
Yellow line = moving average
Quantitative stats for — — full available history
Gap = (price - MA) / MA, expressed as %. Positive = above MA, negative = below. The std dev tells you how volatile that gap typically is. The Z-score tells you whether today's reading is normal or stretched.
Gap std dev
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one σ of price/MA spread
Gap mean
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Current Z-score
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MA slope (20d)
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Annualized vol
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of daily returns
Bull regime gap
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avg gap when above MA
Bear regime gap
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avg gap when below MA
Crossings / year
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how often regime flips
Historical regime stats — full available history
% time bull
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% time bear
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Regime flips
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over —
Avg run length
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bull — · bear —
Recent regime runs (≥5 days)
Regime
Start
End
Days
Return
How to read this. The DMA regime is a simple price-vs-trend classifier — no model fit, no probabilities, no machine learning. Price above the moving average = uptrend (bull); below = downtrend (bear). Toggle between 50 / 100 / 200-day to see short-, medium-, and long-term trend regimes. Compare against the HMM regime on the same index — they often agree, sometimes disagree, and the disagreements are usually instructive.