Daily Report

2026-08-31

The day's regime picture, archived as published. Part of the daily report record.

Global regime board

11bull
7neutral
2bear
S&P 500Nasdaq 100BitcoinEthereumGoldSilverEuro Stoxx 50Nifty 50Nikkei 225KOSPI CompositeShanghai CompositeHang SengTAIEXCrude Oil (WTI)CopperUS 10Y TreasuriesUS Dollar IndexFTSE 100BovespaTadawul All Share

Filtered (causal) HMM states as of this date — the live board is at the home page.

The Compass

United States
Reflation

The market is pricing rising growth and rising inflation.

growth z +2.34 · inflation z +1.30 · 205d in quadrant
India
Stagflation

The market is pricing falling growth with rising inflation.

growth z -1.03 · inflation z +0.65 · 114d in quadrant

Growth × inflation quadrant from asset ratios — interactive version at /compass.

Abnormal moves

MarketDayvs regime normRegime
Copper+1.61%+1.5σbull
Crude Oil (WTI)+3.62%+1.4σneutral
Nasdaq 100-0.70%-1.1σbull
Shanghai Composite+0.86%+0.8σneutral
US 10Y Treasuries-0.22%-0.7σneutral

Moves ranked against what is normal for the regime the market is in — methodology at /movers.

India sectors

Led
Sector1d1w
Pvt Bank+0.97%+1.83%
Bank+0.92%+0.87%
Healthcare+0.85%+3.19%
Pharma+0.72%+3.22%
Lagged
Sector1d1w
Media-2.84%-2.87%
Metal-2.45%-1.40%
FMCG-1.69%-3.16%
Commodities-1.21%-1.59%

Benchmark Nifty 50 -0.39% on the day — full heatmap at /sectors.

News tone

MarketScoreReadHeadlines
S&P 500-0.18negative46
Nasdaq 100-0.02neutral47
Euro Stoxx 50-0.28negative49
Nifty 50-0.28negative88
Nikkei 225-0.32negative52
KOSPI Composite+0.15neutral39
Shanghai Composite+0.07neutral70
Bitcoin+0.04neutral71

FinBERT-scored headline tone, −1 to +1 — live gauge at /sentiment.

This report was generated and published on its stated date and is preserved unchanged — the whole archive is independently snapshotted by the Internet Archive. Educational information, not investment advice.