Daily Report

2026-09-03

The day's regime picture, archived as published. Part of the daily report record.

Global regime board

13bull
4neutral
3bear
S&P 500Nasdaq 100BitcoinEthereumGoldSilverEuro Stoxx 50Nifty 50Nikkei 225KOSPI CompositeShanghai CompositeHang SengTAIEXCrude Oil (WTI)CopperUS 10Y TreasuriesUS Dollar IndexFTSE 100BovespaTadawul All Share

Filtered (causal) HMM states as of this date — the live board is at the home page.

The Compass

United States
Reflation

The market is pricing rising growth and rising inflation.

growth z +2.23 · inflation z +1.44 · 209d in quadrant
India
Stagflation

The market is pricing falling growth with rising inflation.

growth z -1.10 · inflation z +0.77 · 117d in quadrant

Growth × inflation quadrant from asset ratios — interactive version at /compass.

Abnormal moves

MarketDayvs regime normRegime
Copper+2.11%+2.0σbull
US Dollar Index-0.54%-2.0σbull
Gold+3.52%+1.8σbear
Silver+3.62%+1.8σneutral
Bitcoin+3.23%+1.3σbull

Moves ranked against what is normal for the regime the market is in — methodology at /movers.

India sectors

Led
Sector1d1w
Healthcare+1.09%+0.81%
Consumer Durables+0.93%+1.40%
Pharma+0.85%+0.77%
PSU Bank+0.75%-0.17%
Lagged
Sector1d1w
Pvt Bank-0.20%+0.73%
Energy-0.07%-0.69%
Metal-0.07%+2.66%
Bank-0.02%+0.44%

Benchmark Nifty 50 +0.48% on the day — full heatmap at /sectors.

News tone

MarketScoreReadHeadlines
S&P 500-0.18negative36
Nasdaq 100+0.17positive32
Euro Stoxx 50+0.14neutral29
Nifty 50+0.07neutral25
Nikkei 225-0.28negative9
KOSPI Composite+0.23positive31
Shanghai Composite-0.06neutral32
Bitcoin+0.05neutral57

FinBERT-scored headline tone, −1 to +1 — live gauge at /sentiment.

This report was generated and published on its stated date and is preserved unchanged — the whole archive is independently snapshotted by the Internet Archive. Educational information, not investment advice.