Daily Report

2026-09-18

The day's regime picture, archived as published. Part of the daily report record.

Global regime board

10bull
6neutral
4bear
S&P 500Nasdaq 100BitcoinEthereumGoldSilverEuro Stoxx 50Nifty 50Nikkei 225KOSPI CompositeShanghai CompositeHang SengTAIEXCrude Oil (WTI)CopperUS 10Y TreasuriesUS Dollar IndexFTSE 100BovespaTadawul All Share

Filtered (causal) HMM states as of this date — the live board is at the home page.

The Compass

United States
Reflation

The market is pricing rising growth and rising inflation.

growth z +1.91 · inflation z +1.76 · 220d in quadrant
India
Stagflation

The market is pricing falling growth with rising inflation.

growth z -1.34 · inflation z +1.10 · 127d in quadrant

Growth × inflation quadrant from asset ratios — interactive version at /compass.

Abnormal moves

MarketDayvs regime normRegime
Bitcoin+5.35%+2.1σbull
Euro Stoxx 50-1.33%-1.9σbull
US 10Y Treasuries-0.57%-1.9σneutral
FTSE 100-1.26%-1.5σneutral
Ethereum+4.84%+1.4σbull

Moves ranked against what is normal for the regime the market is in — methodology at /movers.

India sectors

Led
Sector1d1w
Healthcare+1.09%+0.81%
Consumer Durables+0.93%+1.40%
Pharma+0.85%+0.77%
PSU Bank+0.75%-0.17%
Lagged
Sector1d1w
Pvt Bank-0.20%+0.73%
Energy-0.07%-0.69%
Metal-0.07%+2.66%
Bank-0.02%+0.44%

Benchmark Nifty 50 +0.48% on the day — full heatmap at /sectors.

News tone

MarketScoreReadHeadlines
S&P 500-0.07neutral28
Nasdaq 100+0.10neutral35
Euro Stoxx 50-0.35negative33
Nifty 50+0.08neutral48
Nikkei 225-0.00neutral35
KOSPI Composite+0.34positive25
Shanghai Composite+0.33positive27
Bitcoin+0.15neutral50

FinBERT-scored headline tone, −1 to +1 — live gauge at /sentiment.

This report was generated and published on its stated date and is preserved unchanged — the whole archive is independently snapshotted by the Internet Archive. Educational information, not investment advice.