Daily Report

2026-09-21

The day's regime picture, archived as published. Part of the daily report record.

Global regime board

10bull
8neutral
2bear
S&P 500Nasdaq 100BitcoinEthereumGoldSilverEuro Stoxx 50Nifty 50Nikkei 225KOSPI CompositeShanghai CompositeHang SengTAIEXCrude Oil (WTI)CopperUS 10Y TreasuriesUS Dollar IndexFTSE 100BovespaTadawul All Share

Filtered (causal) HMM states as of this date — the live board is at the home page.

The Compass

United States
Reflation

The market is pricing rising growth and rising inflation.

growth z +1.91 · inflation z +1.76 · 220d in quadrant
India
Stagflation

The market is pricing falling growth with rising inflation.

growth z -1.36 · inflation z +1.11 · 128d in quadrant

Growth × inflation quadrant from asset ratios — interactive version at /compass.

Abnormal moves

MarketDayvs regime normRegime
Crude Oil (WTI)-7.29%-2.9σneutral
Euro Stoxx 50+1.31%+1.8σbull
Bitcoin+4.03%+1.6σbull
Shanghai Composite+0.97%+1.4σbull
Hang Seng+1.18%+1.4σbull

Moves ranked against what is normal for the regime the market is in — methodology at /movers.

India sectors

Led
Sector1d1w
Pharma+1.16%+1.84%
Realty+1.14%+0.63%
Healthcare+1.10%+1.85%
FMCG+0.95%+1.88%
Lagged
Sector1d1w
Metal-0.61%-0.20%
Commodities-0.24%-0.38%
Infra-0.14%-0.21%
IT-0.08%-0.31%

Benchmark Nifty 50 +0.29% on the day — full heatmap at /sectors.

News tone

MarketScoreReadHeadlines
S&P 500+0.07neutral45
Nasdaq 100-0.11neutral52
Euro Stoxx 50-0.06neutral66
Nifty 50+0.20positive81
Nikkei 225-0.11neutral57
KOSPI Composite+0.37positive34
Shanghai Composite+0.30positive64
Bitcoin+0.27positive71

FinBERT-scored headline tone, −1 to +1 — live gauge at /sentiment.

This report was generated and published on its stated date and is preserved unchanged — the whole archive is independently snapshotted by the Internet Archive. Educational information, not investment advice.