Daily Report

2026-09-22

The day's regime picture, archived as published. Part of the daily report record.

Global regime board

9bull
9neutral
2bear
S&P 500Nasdaq 100BitcoinEthereumGoldSilverEuro Stoxx 50Nifty 50Nikkei 225KOSPI CompositeShanghai CompositeHang SengTAIEXCrude Oil (WTI)CopperUS 10Y TreasuriesUS Dollar IndexFTSE 100BovespaTadawul All Share

Filtered (causal) HMM states as of this date — the live board is at the home page.

The Compass

United States
Reflation

The market is pricing rising growth and rising inflation.

growth z +1.90 · inflation z +1.78 · 222d in quadrant
India
Stagflation

The market is pricing falling growth with rising inflation.

growth z -1.38 · inflation z +1.13 · 129d in quadrant

Growth × inflation quadrant from asset ratios — interactive version at /compass.

Abnormal moves

MarketDayvs regime normRegime
Crude Oil (WTI)-4.49%-1.8σneutral
Nikkei 225+1.38%+1.1σneutral
Copper+2.30%+0.9σbear
US 10Y Treasuries-0.25%-0.8σneutral
Gold-0.65%-0.7σneutral

Moves ranked against what is normal for the regime the market is in — methodology at /movers.

India sectors

Led
Sector1d1w
Healthcare+1.09%+0.81%
Consumer Durables+0.93%+1.40%
Pharma+0.85%+0.77%
PSU Bank+0.75%-0.17%
Lagged
Sector1d1w
Pvt Bank-0.20%+0.73%
Energy-0.07%-0.69%
Metal-0.07%+2.66%
Bank-0.02%+0.44%

Benchmark Nifty 50 +0.48% on the day — full heatmap at /sectors.

News tone

MarketScoreReadHeadlines
S&P 500-0.05neutral31
Nasdaq 100+0.22positive40
Euro Stoxx 50-0.10neutral29
Nifty 50+0.05neutral47
Nikkei 225-0.14neutral28
KOSPI Composite+0.09neutral19
Shanghai Composite+0.22positive38
Bitcoin+0.05neutral53

FinBERT-scored headline tone, −1 to +1 — live gauge at /sentiment.

This report was generated and published on its stated date and is preserved unchanged — the whole archive is independently snapshotted by the Internet Archive. Educational information, not investment advice.