Daily Report

2026-09-23

The day's regime picture, archived as published. Part of the daily report record.

Global regime board

11bull
7neutral
2bear
S&P 500Nasdaq 100BitcoinEthereumGoldSilverEuro Stoxx 50Nifty 50Nikkei 225KOSPI CompositeShanghai CompositeHang SengTAIEXCrude Oil (WTI)CopperUS 10Y TreasuriesUS Dollar IndexFTSE 100BovespaTadawul All Share

Filtered (causal) HMM states as of this date — the live board is at the home page.

The Compass

United States
Reflation

The market is pricing rising growth and rising inflation.

growth z +1.90 · inflation z +1.77 · 221d in quadrant
India
Stagflation

The market is pricing falling growth with rising inflation.

growth z -1.38 · inflation z +1.13 · 129d in quadrant

Growth × inflation quadrant from asset ratios — interactive version at /compass.

Abnormal moves

MarketDayvs regime normRegime
Crude Oil (WTI)-4.96%-1.9σneutral
Hang Seng-1.01%-1.3σbull
US Dollar Index+0.33%+1.1σbull
Nikkei 225+1.38%+1.1σneutral
Gold-0.61%-1.0σbull

Moves ranked against what is normal for the regime the market is in — methodology at /movers.

India sectors

Led
Sector1d1w
Media+1.21%+4.71%
Realty+0.90%+5.80%
Metal+0.14%+2.54%
Commodities+0.06%+1.51%
Lagged
Sector1d1w
IT-0.86%-3.29%
Consumer Durables-0.64%+0.00%
FMCG-0.53%+1.85%
PSU Bank-0.49%+1.38%

Benchmark Nifty 50 -0.36% on the day — full heatmap at /sectors.

News tone

MarketScoreReadHeadlines
S&P 500-0.14neutral40
Nasdaq 100-0.05neutral54
Euro Stoxx 50+0.01neutral38
Nifty 50+0.28positive96
Nikkei 225+0.01neutral26
KOSPI Composite-0.06neutral27
Shanghai Composite-0.01neutral52
Bitcoin+0.21positive81

FinBERT-scored headline tone, −1 to +1 — live gauge at /sentiment.

This report was generated and published on its stated date and is preserved unchanged — the whole archive is independently snapshotted by the Internet Archive. Educational information, not investment advice.