Daily Report

2026-09-29

The day's regime picture, archived as published. Part of the daily report record.

Global regime board

10bull
7neutral
3bear
S&P 500Nasdaq 100BitcoinEthereumGoldSilverEuro Stoxx 50Nifty 50Nikkei 225KOSPI CompositeShanghai CompositeHang SengTAIEXCrude Oil (WTI)CopperUS 10Y TreasuriesUS Dollar IndexFTSE 100BovespaTadawul All Share

Filtered (causal) HMM states as of this date — the live board is at the home page.

The Compass

United States
Reflation

The market is pricing rising growth and rising inflation.

growth z +1.95 · inflation z +1.85 · 226d in quadrant
India
Stagflation

The market is pricing falling growth with rising inflation.

growth z -1.52 · inflation z +1.31 · 134d in quadrant

Growth × inflation quadrant from asset ratios — interactive version at /compass.

Abnormal moves

MarketDayvs regime normRegime
S&P 500-0.77%-1.6σbull
Tadawul All Share-0.88%-1.6σbull
Nasdaq 100-1.08%-1.1σneutral
TAIEX-0.82%-1.1σbull
Euro Stoxx 50+0.82%+1.1σbull

Moves ranked against what is normal for the regime the market is in — methodology at /movers.

India sectors

Led
Sector1d1w
Metal+0.78%-0.28%
Pharma+0.64%+0.09%
Healthcare+0.15%-0.94%
Media+0.11%-2.14%
Lagged
Sector1d1w
Consumer Durables-2.71%-2.19%
Realty-2.00%-3.21%
IT-1.48%-3.19%
Auto-1.33%-3.37%

Benchmark Nifty 50 -0.28% on the day — full heatmap at /sectors.

News tone

MarketScoreReadHeadlines
S&P 500-0.35negative62
Nasdaq 100-0.06neutral56
Euro Stoxx 50+0.08neutral27
Nifty 50-0.20negative130
Nikkei 225-0.36negative44
KOSPI Composite-0.42negative30
Shanghai Composite+0.25positive69
Bitcoin+0.17positive99

FinBERT-scored headline tone, −1 to +1 — live gauge at /sentiment.

This report was generated and published on its stated date and is preserved unchanged — the whole archive is independently snapshotted by the Internet Archive. Educational information, not investment advice.