Daily Report

2026-10-01

The day's regime picture, archived as published. Part of the daily report record.

Global regime board

12bull
6neutral
2bear
S&P 500Nasdaq 100BitcoinEthereumGoldSilverEuro Stoxx 50Nifty 50Nikkei 225KOSPI CompositeShanghai CompositeHang SengTAIEXCrude Oil (WTI)CopperUS 10Y TreasuriesUS Dollar IndexFTSE 100BovespaTadawul All Share

Filtered (causal) HMM states as of this date — the live board is at the home page.

The Compass

United States
Reflation

The market is pricing rising growth and rising inflation.

growth z +1.99 · inflation z +1.84 · 228d in quadrant
India
Stagflation

The market is pricing falling growth with rising inflation.

growth z -1.60 · inflation z +1.36 · 136d in quadrant

Growth × inflation quadrant from asset ratios — interactive version at /compass.

Abnormal moves

MarketDayvs regime normRegime
Nikkei 225+3.30%+2.5σneutral
Nifty 50-0.88%-1.4σbull
FTSE 100-1.15%-1.4σneutral
Bovespa+1.37%+1.3σbull
US Dollar Index+0.34%+1.2σbull

Moves ranked against what is normal for the regime the market is in — methodology at /movers.

India sectors

Led
Sector1d1w
IT+2.17%+0.34%
Pvt Bank+0.01%-0.25%
Healthcare-0.26%-3.95%
Bank-0.33%-1.78%
Lagged
Sector1d1w
Auto-3.46%-5.03%
Metal-2.35%-4.46%
Media-2.33%-0.51%
Commodities-1.93%-4.05%

Benchmark Nifty 50 -0.88% on the day — full heatmap at /sectors.

News tone

MarketScoreReadHeadlines
S&P 500-0.16negative38
Nasdaq 100+0.13neutral72
Euro Stoxx 50-0.38negative42
Nifty 50-0.26negative161
Nikkei 225+0.13neutral58
KOSPI Composite-0.12neutral48
Shanghai Composite+0.33positive25
Bitcoin+0.21positive86

FinBERT-scored headline tone, −1 to +1 — live gauge at /sentiment.

This report was generated and published on its stated date and is preserved unchanged — the whole archive is independently snapshotted by the Internet Archive. Educational information, not investment advice.