Daily Report

2026-10-06

The day's regime picture, archived as published. Part of the daily report record.

Global regime board

10bull
8neutral
2bear
S&P 500Nasdaq 100BitcoinEthereumGoldSilverEuro Stoxx 50Nifty 50Nikkei 225KOSPI CompositeShanghai CompositeHang SengTAIEXCrude Oil (WTI)CopperUS 10Y TreasuriesUS Dollar IndexFTSE 100BovespaTadawul All Share

Filtered (causal) HMM states as of this date — the live board is at the home page.

The Compass

United States
Reflation

The market is pricing rising growth and rising inflation.

growth z +2.05 · inflation z +1.82 · 231d in quadrant
India
Stagflation

The market is pricing falling growth with rising inflation.

growth z -1.66 · inflation z +1.38 · 138d in quadrant

Growth × inflation quadrant from asset ratios — interactive version at /compass.

Abnormal moves

MarketDayvs regime normRegime
Bovespa+7.70%+3.5σbear
Nifty 50+0.98%+1.5σbull
Tadawul All Share+0.86%+1.4σbull
Hang Seng+1.00%+1.2σbull
FTSE 100+0.53%+1.0σbull

Moves ranked against what is normal for the regime the market is in — methodology at /movers.

India sectors

Led
Sector1d1w
FMCG+1.80%-1.51%
Consumer Durables+1.53%-4.42%
Infra+1.02%-1.02%
PSU Bank+0.97%-0.14%
Lagged
Sector1d1w
Healthcare-1.00%-3.64%
Pharma-0.74%-2.41%
IT-0.01%+0.77%
Pvt Bank+0.08%+0.91%

Benchmark Nifty 50 +0.60% on the day — full heatmap at /sectors.

News tone

MarketScoreReadHeadlines
S&P 500+0.01neutral56
Nasdaq 100+0.23positive83
Euro Stoxx 50-0.01neutral46
Nifty 50+0.26positive136
Nikkei 225+0.13neutral38
KOSPI Composite-0.33negative61
Shanghai Composite+0.44positive32
Bitcoin-0.08neutral114

FinBERT-scored headline tone, −1 to +1 — live gauge at /sentiment.

This report was generated and published on its stated date and is preserved unchanged — the whole archive is independently snapshotted by the Internet Archive. Educational information, not investment advice.